Kentucky, Duke Using August Trips To Expedite Maturation For Young Teams

Kentucky, Duke Using August Trips To Expedite Maturation For Young Teams

Duke and Kentucky are loading up with the nation's best players — who leave after a year. How can they win a title with one-and-dones?

Aug 14, 2018 by Adam Zagoria
Kentucky, Duke Using August Trips To Expedite Maturation For Young Teams

According to the latest odds from the betting site Bovada, Kentucky and Duke are the two favorites to cut down the nets in Minneapolis next April.

Kentucky's odds are 6/1 while Duke's are 13/2.

Right behind them are Kansas (8/1), Villanova (17/2), and Gonzaga (19/2), three programs that are older and more experienced than either Kentucky or Duke.

"To me, the two best teams in the country right now are Kansas and Gonzaga," longtime ESPN college basketball analyst Fran Fraschilla said Tuesday by phone. "Upperclassmen, older guys, quality players, NBA guys. Kansas is loaded with NBA guys, Gonzaga certainly has a few."

In Fraschilla's view, Kentucky and Duke are right behind Kansas and Gonzaga, despite the Bovada odds.

Kentucky and Duke, as usual, are loaded with talented young players, one-and-dones, and two-and-dones who will likely fill up the 2019 NBA Draft lottery and first round.

If you look at recent NCAA Tournament history, Fraschilla's prognostications make sense. The last three NCAA champions — Villanova in 2016 and '18 and North Carolina in '17 — were older, more experienced teams that didn't rely on one-and-dones. In fact, Tony Bradley, a reserve on Carolina's 2017 team, was the only one-and-done player to win an NCAA championship in the last three seasons.

Since 2010, when John Calipari and Kentucky really amped up the strategy of building teams around one-and-done players, two of nine such teams have won NCAA titles.

The 2012 Kentucky team had the eventual top two picks in the Draft in Anthony Davis and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, but it also had "older" players like sophomores Terrence Jones and Doron Lamb and senior Darius Miller, who played key roles.

Likewise, the 2015 Duke championship team featured one-and-dones Jahlil Okafor, Justice Winslow, and Tyus Jones (along with fellow freshman Grayson Allen), but relied on older guys like junior Amile Jefferson and senior Quinn Cook.

"When each team won with one-and-done guys, they also had a good mix of older guys," Fraschilla said.

Which brings us to the 2018-19 season, where both Kentucky and Duke are once again loaded with young players and thus are trying to speed up their maturation by making foreign trips in August that allow for 10 extra practices.

Kentucky just completed an impressive 4-0 trip to the Bahamas where freshmen like Keldon Johnson, Tyler Herro, Immanuel Quickley, and Ashton Hagans impressed, but so did "older" sophomores P.J. Washington, Nick Richards and Quade Green, as well as grad transfer Reid Travis.

In the meantime, Duke begins a three-game Canadian swing on Wednesday that will showcase projected No. 1 pick R.J. Barrett, who will return home to Canada with his new team, along with fellow freshman superstar Zion Williamson, whom Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski has called "graceful" despite his 6-foot-7, 285-pound frame. (Fellow freshmen Cam Reddish and Tre Jones are injured and won't play on the tour.)

"Duke and Kentucky are trying to speed up the maturity process with summer tours," Fraschilla said. "They're trying to get games under their belt as quickly as possible knowing that they have Final Four-type teams, where Kansas and Gonzaga are different. They've already got older guys."

Kentucky looked impressive on its 4-0 trip, even if it didn't shoot the basketball particularly well from deep. Johnson, Richards, and Washington all seemed to impress NBA scouts, while Travis can be a rebounding force even if Calipari wants him to be more assertive and quicker going up with the basketball.

"I told the guys I'm not intoxicated by this," Calipari said of the trip. "I just told them I'm not. At the end of the day, we should be a monster defensive team. We should be a great rebounding team. We should be a team that can fly up and down the court and put pressure on you both sides of the ball. And we should be a team that shares because we've got a lot of guys that are skilled enough to play that way. And it seems to me we got a couple dogs. I like to have a couple dogs on the team who will not back away."

Still, Calipari said he's not getting ahead of himself, and allowing himself to dream of another Final Four.

"It's August," he said, "I've been doing this too long."

Fraschilla, who worked Calipari's fantasy camp in the Bahamas, came away thinking Calipari felt good about his team going forward.

"My sense was John was very pleased with the entire trip," Fraschilla said. "They got 10 good practices out of it before they left. They got solid competition. They were in a beautiful place with which to build team chemistry. I think you can check the box on all of those. They came away a more experienced team than the team that arrived in the Bahamas a week ago."

Now Duke will attempt to do the same with three games in Toronto and Montreal.

In recent years, Coach K has taken a page out of Calipari's book by recruiting one-and-dones like Okafor, Winslow, Jones, Brandon Ingram, Jayson Tatum, Harry Giles, Marvin Bagley, Wendell Carter Jr., and Trevon Duval.

Now Barrett, Williamson, and Reddish represent a new and historic wave as they were the projected top three players in ESPN's class of 2018 rankings at one point.

All of that presents challenges to Coach K, who has less than a year to mold such players into a cohesive team that can compete during March Madness.

"The new players that we bring in are really good," Coach K said. "Sometimes they can be our best players. Usually the best players in the past were your older players and now you get a mix, or your two or three top players might be freshmen. How do we work on the dynamics in team building in that regard, and each situation is going to be different. We spend a lot of time in team building and developing a team atmosphere even before you start doing anything offensively and defensively. We’ve just got to do that every year now. It’s pretty interesting. I’m not saying it’s better or worse than the past. All I can say is that I’m still doing what I love to do; I just have to do it a little bit different.”

This year, Coach K said he will emphasize even more the "position-less" basketball that Calipari — and more and more the NBA — have been talking about the past several years. He feels Barrett, Williamson, Reddish, and Jones can all play various positions and complement one another. 

"Throughout the years, we’ve just tried to recruit basketball players and put the five best players on the court," Coach K said. "With this group of freshmen, four of them are really good ball handlers. Joey Baker is more of a wing and a shooter, and the other four kids can really play all over." 

With this trip to Canada — as with Kentucky's to the Bahamas — Duke will try to speed up the timeline by getting its young players the extra practices and games that will benefit them down the road against more experienced, if less talented, teams.

"They're all experienced players, but they don't have the experience of playing together," Fraschilla said, "which is going to be critical if they have a chance to win the national title. And they do."

By April, we'll know if yet another team relying on one-and-dones can cut down the nets, or if the more recent trend of older teams winning it all continues. 


Adam Zagoria is a Basketball Insider who runs ZAGSBLOG.com and contributes to The New York Times. Follow Adam on Twitter.